|Our ford crossing above the swimming hole|
|Bank before 2015 (red line) and now - REK|
The hidden damage comes from the invasive species seeds the floods bring down from upstream sources. Every deluge brings a new wave of seeds to the flood plain. Barb's self-imposed role as the Sisyphus of Bull Creek will face a new "flood" of garlic mustard and other dastardly plants, insuring that her chosen role of Invader Crusader will continue.
Metstat from Colorado State University has documented the rain patterns in Missouri between the events in 2015 and 2017. Much of the local effects comes from variation in locally concentrated rainfall.
|NOAA Map - Click to enlarge|
-->"Extreme precipitation is a classic signal of climate change. There has been dramatic increase in extreme and record-breaking precipitation world-wide, a trend in which the fingerprint of climate change has been firmly identified. That global trend in mirrored by the continental trend across the U.S. and in particular in Missouri that sits in the bull’s-eye of increasing extreme precipitation in the U.S. Extreme precipitation in Missouri has increased 50 percent since 1950." Climatenexus.org/There is no question in my mind that the term "500 year flood" is now obsolete. This is probably due to a combination of climate change (yes I said it) and the spread of invasive species, namely humans. As we move out into rural areas with homes and commerce, more acres of roofs, pavement and non absorptive surface can be expected to increase runoff into streams. Combine that with rainfall data above from the last few decades and it may be time to inquire about financing a new Ark.